Is Swine Flu The Real Deal?
Beginning in March of 2009 an outbreak of a new strain of influenza commonly referred to as swine flu infected multitudes of people in Mexico and the United States, causing severe illness to those infected. The new strain was shown to be a fussion of several unique strains of Influenzavirus A, subtype H1N1, including both strains of this subtype circulating in humans, and in pigs. The strain has now been determined to transmit between humans and according to recent reports, has a relatively high mortality rate in Mexico. The World Health Organization (WHO) and the U.S Centers for Disease and Control Prevention (CDC) have displayed serious concerns that the flu strain has the capability to become an influenza pandemic. The virus is already widespread, so containment of it will be impossible. Starting on April 26, 2009, many U.S. schools and school districts announced closings in response to the influenza’s rapid spread. The first official death due to Swine Flu in the US occurred on April 28, 2009. Tests confirmed that a child, 23-months old, from Mexico, died from the flu while visiting Texas. The next day President Obama suggested U.S. schools should consider closing as a future possibility if students are in fact infected. There are two confirmed cases in Massachusetts. Two middle school students in Lowell, Massachusetts have tested positive for swine flu as of April 29, 2009. After returning from a family trip to Mexico, both became mildly sick on their return to U.S. The local health department said that the boys had not returned to school since coming back from Mexico, and there were no concerns that the illness had been spread. In Spencer, Massachusetts, two students who also had recently returned from Mexico were tested for likely swine flu infection. The results of those tests have not yet been reported.
The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) identified the first two A/09(H1N1) swine flu cases in California on April 17, 2009. Within the next couple of days monitering of those with swine flu symptoms intensified in the search for additional cases in both California and Texas. The CDC found that the virus strain was genetically similar to the previously known A(H1N1) swine flu spreading among pigs in the United States since 1999. The virus was a combination of human, Eurasian swine, and North American swine influenza viruses. The viruses from the two primary Californian cases were also noted to be resistant to amantadine and rimantadine, two common influenza antiviral drugs. There had been no contact with pigs found for any of the seven Californian nor either of the two Texas cases. Human to human transmission of the disease is the only explanation.
Although seemingly serious, is the Swine Flu all that it is hyped up to be? Or is it just another disease like that of SARS and Avian Flu, which just seemingly vanishes from the media and our worries?
An April 28, 2009 CNN article states, “There had been no confirmed deaths in the United States related to swine flu as of Tuesday afternoon. But another virus had killed thousands of people since January and is expected to keep killing hundreds of people every week for the rest of the year. That one? The regular flu… No fewer than 800 flu-related deaths were reported in any week between January 1 and April 18, the most recent week for which figures were available.”
The flu death toll in Mexico could be lower than originally thought, according to Dr. Gregory Evans, head of the Association of Medical Microbiology and Infectious Disease Canada and a member of a federal pandemic-planning committee:
“There was a lot of speculation and what seemed to be evidence there were dozens and dozens of deaths. Careful analysis showed these people likely died of something else, and not flu. That’s really good news, and that would fit with what we’ve seen outside of Mexico.”
Moreover, another Canadian expert, Dr. Neil Rau, criticized the WHO’s decision to raise its Pandemic alert to level 5, saying:
I don’t agree with (the WHO) because I think it’s a panic metre, not a pandemic metre. If that flu-like illness is not deadly, I don’t know what the cause for alarm is for people who are not really sickened by this virus. I’m really eager to know how much worse this is than seasonal flu. So far it’s looking like it’s not that serious.”
So is the Swine Flu the real deal? The likelihood is that this is just another one of those diseases that is hyped up by the media. That will go away with the boredom of the American public. In the case that this is a real threat to millions around the globe, however we should be prepared regardless. Taking proper precautions against this disease could end up saving us from an event as horrific as the flu pandemic of 1918 which took upwards of 100 million lives.
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